Betting on football can often be challenging. It is not nuclear science, but you definitely need some type of strategy if you want to make any profit out of it. Placing bets without any strategy is dangerous, and we do not suggest it. There are plenty of football betting strategies on the internet, but which ones are the best ones? Let’s break that down and see which are the top 3 football betting strategies.
Betting units instead of money is one of the best strategies out there. This strategy allows you to take emotions out and never bet more than you can afford to lose. But what is it actually? To make things simple, let’s say your monthly bankroll for betting is $200. If we divide those $200 into 100 units, 1 unit will represent $2. So, you have a total of 100 units to bet each month. The maximum amount you can place on one match should never be more than 10% of your monthly bankroll. In this case, the maximum amount is 10 units or $20.
You analyze every match independently and try to estimate how sure you are in that bet. Suppose you are 50% sure, then you should bet 5 units; if you are 30% sure, then you should bet 3 units, and so on. This way, you will never run out of money, and you will never spend more than you can afford to lose. You set your monthly budget at the beginning of the month, and if you run out of units, you just stop and wait for the next month. But it is really hard to run out, considering that you will need to lose 10 bets in a row in which you are 100% sure.
In case you win, and your balance exceeds $200 at the end of the month, you can decide whether to withdraw the winnings or increase your unit strength and aim for higher wins. For example, if you finish the month with $400, you can withdraw the $200 of winnings and play the next month with your normal balance, or increase the unit strength and set one unit to be worth $4.
Betting on value is something that professional football bettors always tend to do. This type of football betting almost guarantees a profit in the long run. Simply put, a value bet is a bet placed on a match where the likelihood for something to happen are higher than the bookmaker suggests.
Your job is to find a match where the bookmaker gave higher odds than they are supposed to. Bookmakers always try to win the money, so, if they think there is a 50% chance on a team to win, the odds on that team will always be set at 1,90. If you ever see a match that is 50% – 50%, and the odds on one team are higher than 1.90, you should go for it. Keep in mind that you should place a 2-way bet, so if the match ends up with a draw, you will get your stake back.
In other words, if the odds on one team to win are 2,00, and they have a 60% or even 70% chance to win that match, that is a good value bet, and you should always try it.
The only system in which you can surely profit from gambling is arbitrage betting. This type of betting isn’t actually gambling because you will win no matter the outcome. It is simple math and can sometimes even get you banned from betting, just like counting cards in blackjack. Arbitrage betting is only possible due to differing opinions of bookmakers. Those bets are hard to find and require a lot of initial capital to start because the winnings will never exceed more than 10% of your total stake, but most often, it will be 1% or 2%.
You will need to look through multiple bookmakers to find matches where they disagree. Let’s say there is a match between Arsenal and Manchester United. Bookmaker A set the odds 1,50 on Arsenal and 3,00 on United. On the other side, Bookmaker B set the odds 1,70 on Arsenal and 2,40 on United. This is a clear arbitrage opportunity where you can profit no matter what. Now that we found it, you will have to do some math or use an online arbitrage calculator. In this scenario, we would bet on Arsenal to win on Bookmaker B and United to win on Bookmaker A. This will be two separate bets on 1,70 and 3,00 odds. You will have to place $638,30 on 1,70 and $361,70 on 3,0. Whichever team wins, your payout will be $1085,11, which is $85 of pure no-risk profit.