Odds research: An analysis of the betting favorites for the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup in Australia and New Zealand

 

The 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup is the ninth edition of the best pro footballers’ tournament. First co-hosted by two countries, the Cup will take place from July to August 2023. With 32 nations competing, the championship raised more interest than any other before. Given the prize pool of $150, it’s no wonder why gamblers worldwide are looking forward to their share of the deal. We will guide you through the games and the participants. Moreover, you’ll get preliminary FIFA women’s World Cup odds to determine favorites and dark horses.

The FIFA Women’s World Cup 2023 in brief

The World Championship, with the participation of 32 national selections, begins on July 20 in Auckland. The final game will take place on August, 20 in Sydney. As mentioned, the World Cup has amassed a sizable prize pool. FIFA allocated 5x more money than for the previous gathering. It’s still far from what their men’s colleagues share, but the organizers promised equality in the future. Also, hosts informed us they sold over a million tickets before the first match started. The United States, who won the women’s World Cup previous edition in France in 2019, are the defending champions. Let’s see whether they have a chance to repeat the success.

Format & teams

The World Cup begins with the group stage, where all 32 squads participate and play three matches each. This is more than in the previous World Cup in 2019, as the setup has been expanded from 24.

In each match, a nation earns three points for a win and one for a draw. The top two from each group will move on to the round of 16, the next stage of the competition.

During the knockout rounds, squads will face off in one-off matches. If the match ends in a draw after regular time, it can go into extra time. If needed, a shootout will be used to determine the winner.

  •    Group A: New Zealand, Norway, Philippines, Switzerland
  •    Group B: Australia, Ireland, Nigeria, Canada
  •    Group C: Spain, Costa Rica, Zambia, Japan
  •    Group D: England, Haiti, Denmark, China
  •    Group E: USA, Vietnam, Netherlands, Portugal
  •    Group F: France, Jamaica, Brazil, Panama
  •    Group G: Sweden, South Africa, Italy, Argentina
  •    Group H: Germany, Morocco, Columbia, Korea

Football betting enthusiasts will enjoy the entire duration of the tournament. The group stage starts on Thursday, July 20, going up to Thursday, August 3. The Round of Sixteen lasts four days between the 5th and 8th of August. After a two-day break, squads will compete in Quarter Finals. The best four are going into Semifinals on the 15th and 16th of August. The third-place game and finals are scheduled for the 19th and 20th of August, respectively.

Top betting favorites to win the tournament

The US Women’s National Team (USWNT) finds themselves in Group E, alongside Vietnam, Portugal, and the 2019 finalists, the Netherlands. USWNT is attracting much attention as they aim to achieve an unprecedented three-peat in the World Cup. They emerged victorious as favorites in 2015 and 2019, and now their sights are set on another triumph. Yet, this time they will be under the guidance of a new coach, Vlatko Andonovski, as Jill Ellis stepped down in late 2019.

England is currently ranked second and considered a co-favorite in some books. They recently claimed victory in the UEFA Women’s EURO by defeating Germany in 2022, so it’s no surprise that top New Zealand’s soccer betting sites consider this team one of the odds-on favorites. But England has experienced a different level of success in the World Cup, with their best finish being a bronze medal in 2015. Yet, to claim the title, the team relies on Lucy Bronze and Fran Kirby. The right-back and attacking midfielder duo promise creativity combined with goal-scoring.

Spain enters the Women’s World Cup with high expectations, despite a disappointing performance at EURO 2022. They were considered favorites but fell short, losing 2-1 to England in the quarterfinals, with the absence of Ballon d’Or winner Alexia Putella due to injury. If Putella returns for the World Cup, Spain will be one to watch out for.

Long story short, the USWNT leads the rankings with odds of +225. Right behind them is England, with odds of 3/1. Spain, Germany, France, and Australia complete the top six with betting odds of 10/1 or better. These are considered strong contenders, and there is a significant difference in their chances compared to the other squads.

Underdogs & potential surprises

France has faced some challenges recently, but a change in management has brought Herve Renard into the picture. This has lifted the team’s spirits, and they will be a well-prepared squad that won’t be easy to defeat. Eugenie Le Sommer, Wendie Renard, and Grace Geyoro will do their best to ensure Les Bleus’ successful journey.

Germany’s women’s team, DFB-Frauen, has recently experienced a few setbacks. Manager Martina Voss-Tecklenburg must ensure her team bounces back quickly, which is quite likely. The injury to captain Alexandra Popp is a concern due to her leadership and goal-scoring abilities. However, Lea Schuller and Laura Freigang have shown they can overcome the challenge. When considering your bets, midfielders Dzsenifer Marozsan and Sara Dabritz are also the ones to watch.

Australia has the winning potential to do so with the home crowd’s support. The Matildas, led by manager Tony Gustavsson, have experienced players in various positions. Sam Kerr is one of the best in the world. The team also relies on Lydia Williams, Clare Polkinghorne, and Tameka Yallop as experienced and inspired professionals.

Betting strategies and tips

The World Cup’s betting space comes with multiple markets. Since we know how challenging it may be to place the right bets, let’s check several potentially lucrative options. Starting with “a first-team-to-score” is the easiest way to win. Predict which team to score and you’ll get paid. When betting during a favorite-underdog game, this could be your entry ticket. Of course, review the team’s previous matches and analyze the goalscoring tendency.

The “over/under” market is another thing to watch. As women’s football games have many goals, pick a higher number. The market booms during the group stages, so keep that in mind.

When you’re sure the favorite will close the match, choose “draw-no-bet”. One of the most profitable markets is an excellent way to win. Moreover, winners collect stakes plus the profit. You’ll get a refund if the game ends in a draw.

Bottom line

The sports betting industry grows daily, expanding markets and introducing better odds. The upcoming Women’s World Cup is an excellent opportunity to test your knowledge and skills. Do your homework before placing real-money bets. Analyze previous games and research the team stats. Gather as much data as possible since the favorite’s winning is not guaranteed. Nobody expected Morocco to be in the third-place game in the 2022 FIFA Men’s World Cup. Still, lucky winners profited from that match.

Odds research: An analysis of the betting favorites for the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup in Australia and New Zealand

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