Germany and Portugal clash at the Allianz Arena

Germany and Portugal will clash at the Allianz Arena in the UEFA Nations League semi-final, a high-stakes match with more than just bragging rights on the line. The winner moves on to face either Spain or France in the final, and both sides know the importance of making a statement ahead of the 2026 World Cup build-up.

Germany enter the match with the advantage of playing at home and a solid run of form behind them. They’ve won five of their last eight and looked sharp in their recent 3-0 win over Italy. Despite missing some key names, including Antonio Rüdiger and Kai Havertz, their squad remains packed with talent. Florian Wirtz, fresh off an outstanding season with Bayer Leverkusen, has become a pivotal figure in Julian Nagelsmann’s plans.

Wirtz, who has 16 goals and 15 assists this season, is priced at 5/1 to score first. He’s also tipped to assist at 5/2, which could offer solid value given his creative influence and set-piece responsibilities.

Semi-final showdown: What’s at stake?

As Germany prepare to face Portugal on 5 June 2025, the betting odds are already drawing attention. Germany are the favourites at 6/7, while Portugal are priced at 13/4, and a draw has odds of 13/5. For those looking to place a bet, keep in mind that the odds are likely to change as team form and injury updates come into play.

According to the best betting sites 2025, Germany remain the frontrunners, but Portugal may offer good value at 13/4. Football betting isn’t just about choosing winners, it’s more about timing, value, and knowing which markets give you the edge. Odds can shift rapidly with line-up news, weather reports, and even unexpected managerial decisions. It’s this mix of data and unpredictability that makes football betting such an engaging part of the sport, especially for those looking to make informed punts ahead of big fixtures.

Portugal’s big test

Portugal, meanwhile, have had a rockier path to this stage. Their route included a nervy extra-time win over Denmark, and questions still linger over manager Roberto Martínez’s tactics and team selections. Cristiano Ronaldo remains the headline name, but consistency has been hard to come by for this side.

With just one clean sheet in their last eight Nations League matches, Portugal’s defence could be in for a tough evening. This may open up opportunities for rising stars like Nick Woltemade, who’s been called up after a breakout Bundesliga season. He netted 17 goals for Stuttgart and is priced at 19/10 to score anytime, a tempting market for those hunting player-focused bets.

Predictions and final score bets

Germany’s recent dominance over Portugal adds another layer of confidence for home fans. They’ve beaten Portugal in each of their last five meetings, including a 4-2 win at Euro 2020. With that kind of history, it’s no surprise to see Germany backed at shorter odds.

A repeat scoreline of 3-1 in Germany’s favour is currently priced at 12/1, while a tighter 2-1 is around 9/1. Given Germany’s attacking flair and Portugal’s shaky defence, those looking for bigger returns might consider a bet on goals, over 2.5 total goals is likely to hover around even money as matchday nears.

Germany will need to make the most of their home support and ride the momentum from their recent wins. Portugal, on the other hand, must tighten up defensively and hope Ronaldo can produce one of his trademark big-game moments.

This semi-final promises plenty of drama, and with betting markets shifting right up to kick-off, punters have more than enough angles to consider before placing their final bets.

Germany and Portugal clash at the Allianz Arena